Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.448802 0.518207 0.593862 0.682329 0.782815 0.893274 1.023762
2025-08-17 0.326162 0.419322 0.531038 0.674293 0.852477 1.066127 1.340970
2025-08-24 0.257124 0.358169 0.488209 0.666584 0.903461 1.205600 1.618285
2025-08-31 0.205779 0.306747 0.444623 0.644640 0.924950 1.300947 1.839972
2025-09-07 0.185121 0.292133 0.445687 0.679034 1.020849 1.498556 2.210745
2025-09-14 0.155063 0.258437 0.413948 0.660887 1.037967 1.585526 2.432045
2025-09-21 0.131175 0.230079 0.385555 0.642671 1.050557 1.663886 2.643817
2025-09-28 0.112568 0.207170 0.362137 0.628288 1.065672 1.744801 2.863038
2025-10-05 0.102592 0.197159 0.357893 0.643401 1.127482 1.900660 3.207806
2025-10-12 0.096816 0.193581 0.363682 0.675206 1.218503 2.108569 3.649291
2025-10-19 0.089341 0.185776 0.361012 0.691698 1.284494 2.279881 4.042729
2025-10-26 0.081387 0.175902 0.353331 0.698097 1.332884 2.424512 4.400872
2025-11-02 0.072962 0.164144 0.341178 0.695693 1.366549 2.548613 4.737149
2025-11-09 0.064751 0.151686 0.326278 0.686589 1.387236 2.651892 5.045638
2025-11-16 0.057738 0.140698 0.312871 0.678678 1.408896 2.757688 5.365081
2025-11-23 0.050261 0.127540 0.293395 0.656362 1.400382 2.807009 5.584408
2025-11-30 0.048689 0.127610 0.301578 0.691330 1.507151 3.077979 6.231502
2025-12-07 0.042912 0.116885 0.285199 0.672881 1.504597 3.140735 6.489730
2025-12-14 0.037840 0.107080 0.269629 0.654359 1.499861 3.198217 6.740692
2025-12-21 0.033639 0.098804 0.256508 0.639735 1.501706 3.268210 7.019895
2025-12-28 0.031753 0.096301 0.256634 0.655101 1.569205 3.474639 7.583514
2026-01-04 0.030983 0.096702 0.263789 0.687439 1.676476 3.769335 8.343506
2026-01-11 0.029380 0.094547 0.264378 0.704206 1.750154 3.998720 8.983110